CCN Weather Update for Friday October 24, 2025.
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Here’s today’s Bottom Line
Calm and quiet weather will continue through the weekend.
Then attention turns to a non-tropical low pressure likely developing along a coastal trough late Sunday into Monday, which could bring — COULD bring — wind and copious rainfall to the area.
There’s still considerable uncertainty at this early hour regarding the overall strength, track, and characteristic of this storm. I’m confident in some rainfall developing early Monday and lasting into Tuesday, but that’s about where my confidence ends.
Right now, between the Euro and the GFS, the Euro is the stronger model (deterministic model, that is). If the Euro verifies, heavy rainfall is more of a likelihood, with potential flooding concerns.
The GFS is a weaker storm with a more inland track (as of the time of this writing — that could/will change over time).
So in summary, prepare for rainy conditions early next week… possibly significant rainfall and windy conditions but it’s too early to make that call.
For the graphic below, I’m going with the more chilly/rainy scenario. Prepare for the worst and hope for the best. Monday may be a cold, rainy, miserable day.
TROPICS: Melissa is in no hurry to go really anywhere through at least Monday into Tuesday while likely strengthening to at least category 4, possibly even 5.
She will absolutely hammer Jamaica with feet of rainfall, which will lead to catastrophic flooding, mudslides, wind damage… all of the complications… BEFORE Jamaica takes a direct strike. Nearly all of the available modeling has her turning northeast and plowing directly into the island later next week. The potential loss of life is rather staggering.
There are no tropical threats to the Carolinas through the foreseeable future.
Here is your Freedom Insurance Today-plus-Five Forecast:
–Meteorologist Christopher Cawley
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